A weblog covering the San Diego Padres.

Monday, May 17, 2004

What Have I Been Saying About The Dodgers?

The Futility Infielder (now linked to the right) has similar thoughts:

"The Dodgers' outperformance of their Pythagorean projection, success in one-run games, and off-the-charts boost from some of the hitters all suggest that they may return to earth before too long, and indeed, the current losing streak may represent the beginning of the elevator ride down."

The Dodgers, like the Angels, are good teams playing above themselves. Teams like that tend to come back to orbit. Remember the Padres' 14 game winning streak during a bad season a few years ago? Same thing.

Now, to be fair, I was being selective with that quote. This is a little trick a lot of media people do and are not honest about, ripping things out of context. So here's a lesson of sorts, as I provide the rest of the context of that quote, as FI wasn't knocking the Dodgers so much as providing an outlook after some long and thoughtful analysis of how the Dodgers have done what they have done. Here's the rest, to see where he was actually going with what I used-

"But in a weak division, with last year's champs reeling, the Dodgers actually have a fighting chance, particularly if a pair of highly touted rookies deliver on their promise. Twenty-year-old starter Edwin Jackson, who went 2-1 with a 2.45 ERA in 22 late-season innings last year, has needed some seasoning at Las Vegas, but even his his 10th percentile PECOTA projection of a 4.17 ERA looks mighty tasty next to the likes of Nomo and Weaver, and he may be back in the majors by mid-summer. If new GM Paul DePodesta can provide the kind of in-season upgrades that helped make his mentor in Oakland famous, this team has a real shot at going to the postseason for the first time since 1996. With my MLB.tv package, I'll be keeping an eye on them."


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